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PHNOM PENH : After a year of drama and intrigue, a coalition deal
snared at the weekend allows Cambodia's politicians to get back to work
but the power balance has barely changed, diplomats and analysts say.
A deal between Prime Minister Hun Sen and his coalition partner in two
previous administrations, Prince Norodom Ranariddh, was snared Friday,
finally paving the way for a government 11 months after national
elections.
With a new government expected to be formed early July, barring
last-minute hiccups, a working parliament can finally pass crucial
mothballed legislation, including ratification of entry into the World
Trade Organisation and a bill to allow the procedure of a UN-backed
trial of surviving Khmer Rouge leaders.
But when asked how Cambodians felt about the breakthrough, Hang Puthea,
director of an election monitoring group, said they had almost lost
interest.
"People are tired of listening to this problem, but thanks to this
situation people may think more carefully about voting in the next
elections."
The period has boasted endless snarling among political parties, bizarre
jet-setting around the globe by leaders aimed at winning international
support for their stances plus the self-imposed exile of a sulking king.
King Norodom Sihanouk spirited himself away to a palace in North Korea
to wait out the crisis, from where he chimed into debate by posting
comments on his website and insisted he would not return until a
government was formed.
Donors to the aid-dependent country -- one of the poorest in the world
-- have looked on askance while observers have grown so perplexed by the
behind-the-scenes deal making that most stopped speculating on any
outcome.
The essential result however sees Cambodia's new government return to
its make-up prior to the July 2003 polls, although minor surprises may
still occur before the final sealing of the coalition deal slated for
this week.
As in previous coalition deals, Hun Sen's Cambodian People's Party (CPP)
has emerged the victor, this time securing an extra three ministries at
the expense of Ranariddh's FUNCINPEC, which fared dismally in the polls.
The control of ministries and receiving the perks attached to them is
important in infamously corrupt Cambodia, and the issue of who would get
what formed the focus of intense bargaining, according to diplomats.
"It was a two-pronged approach. While the parties working groups were
openly discussing forming a government, they were definitely working
secretly on this big issue," one envoy told AFP.
A 73-point joint political platform meanwhile took up weeks of
negotiating, with party officials shuffling forwards -- and then
backwards -- on a day-to-day basis.
The final power split does reflect the election results, which saw the
CPP scoop 73 of the 123 national assembly seats, leaving it just nine
short of the the two-thirds majority it required under the constitution
to govern alone.
That left it hostage to the royalists and the outspoken opposition Sam
Rainsy Party, who formed a surprise alliance in the wake of the polls.
It was dealt a blow however when Ranariddh struck a sudden March deal
with Hun Sen to tentatively revive their partnership.
Under that deal, the royalists can give the opposition party some of its
own posts, creating a "two-and-a-half party" government. FUNCINPEC's
decision on whether it will actually hand over posts remains a major
question for now.
"Despite the months of negotiations, effectively it's a deal between the
same two parties with Rainsy possibly left out in the cold again,"
another Asian diplomat told AFP.
However, he insisted Hun Sen, an ex-Khmer Rouge fighter and so-called
"strong man" of Cambodia, would emerge winning plaudits from the
international community for the peaceful resolution of the stalemate,
despite taking a long time to achieve it.
- AFP |